"God can have opinions; everyone else should bring some data." often attributed to W. Edwards Deming, but most likely should be attributed to R. A. Fisher or George Box
Thursday, November 8, 2012
Good day for "poll quants"
Well, the election is over and there are some big winners other than the political candidates; namely, the "poll quants" as there are called. That is, the statistically trained people who used sophisticated models to forecast the results of the election (for example, see Nate Silver's work at the blog FiveThirtyEight, Sam Wang at the Princeton Election Consortium, and Drew Linzer at Votamatic). That were spot on while all the political pundits were way off (to be kind).
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